

I'm not sure... seems like the GameBoy is so popular, that as far as handheld gaming devices go, there will always be a spot for that. I think the 3DS was rushed and the need lacking. But Pokemon are a true phenomena that I almost believe alone could sustain Nintendo in the handheld market.
That said, I wonder whether the iOS market will push the price boundary higher for deeper gaming experiences, thus pushing the two sides closer together. I wonder if your decline in Nintendo's core franchise interests is almost like Star Wars, one where newer works aren't necessarily geared towards you as the core demographic leaving you feel abandoned despite the desire.
Funny thing is, for the true Nintendo classics, they really seem to hold up to the test of time, be it Donkey Kong, Super Mario Bros, or Mario Kart. You know, I've held on to a GBA and have some of those and in a gaming pinch, I would be as interested on it playing Advance Wars... even, shockingly to the Big N, without 3D or motion controls.
You make some good points there. I can only speak of what transition that has taken place in my house (well, extended family's households) where there are no Pokemons to speak of. Perhaps as my nephews get older, there will be a 5DS out that all the kids will be playing - but right now, they are happy enough tapping away on iPod Touchs & iPads.
I'm curious to see what will happen with the price point. Maybe we'll see it move on both ends of the spectrum - higher priced iOS titles, and lower priced DS/PSP/Vita games. Doubtful I suppose on that second half, but still - curious to see.
As for Nintendo classics & nostalgia - sure, I'm all in there, but I'd honestly much rather have my NES favorites on my smartphone for sporadic, spats of gaming. When I hear about classic Nintendo games coming to their E-shop (not sure what it is called) it does tug at my wallet a bit - but not enough for me to cough up for a 3DS.. at least not yet.
The only reason we have a Wii in our house is because my wife won one at an event. It's become our dedicated Netflix machine upstairs. Other than some Super Mario Bros once in a great while, I can't bring myself to play it. Just not my thing anymore.
I don't own an Iphone or Ipad, but I imagine it would be my go to for quick portable gaming. It would be far more convenient considering I've already paid for the phone and cheap games are available.
I only have three reasons to play my Wii: Monster Hunter Tri, Shiren the Wanderer, and some classics through the Virtual Console that I no longer have in my possession for whatever reason. My wife only likes to play Order Up! and Animal Crossing: City Folk.
Other than those (and maybe Netflix), the Wii's been an overall disappointment in my household, too.
Great read. I agree with everything you have said. I can see why Nintendo is so stubborn though. They are from Japan, and the Japanese are infamously stubborn and are way too proud to admit that level of defeat. It would have them laying down their weapons, and crawling on all fours to Apple. I would imagine they would rather be brought to the brink of destruction before admitting that kind of defeat.
We may one day see Nintendo franchises on other devices, but Nintendo will have to fail miserably for that to happen. The 3DS is selling well finally, so they have no reason to jump ship yet. I say all of this knowing damn well that Sony has just announced that we are going to see some of their franchises on platforms that are not Sony branded. Could this mean PS1 and PS2 games on Android phones or iDevices? I sure as hell hope so.
If Sony was able to put aside their pride, and do what is right for the company, then they are going to be WAY ahead of the pack. They will be the first out of the gate with Sony franchises on non-Sony devices. If they handle this properly, and not screw it up, they will be first out of the gate and 1st place towards the money pile.